Traders are starting to bet big on a Donald Trump win.

BY ANDREW GIOVINAZZI

October 30, 2024

Yo Pit Crazies,


Traders are starting to bet big on a Donald Trump win.  How do I know?  Well just look at Trump Media and Technology Group (Ticker: DJT).  This stock is starting to take a lot of oxygen like Nvidia Inc (Ticker: NVDA) used to do at the beginning of 2024.  The Invesco QQQ Trust (Ticker: QQQ) closed above $500.  Alphabet Inc (Ticker: GOOGL) up smartly post earnings.

Betting markets have Trump 60/40 favorite over Harris right now.  Let’s say a lot of the weight is pushing to one side.  We have a Special Situation for the ages.

 

Is 6000 SPX in the cards?

 

SPX option prices says so

The SPX Nov08 straddle is trading for $150.00.  Don’t forget we have an FOMC meet on the 7th and more Big Tech earnings.  This year, SPX has moved 150 on the FOMC alone.

What I will say is the straddle has not expanded back to $200.  That is putting lower SPX outside of what traders think will happen.  They sure do think $6000 SPX will happen.

 

See how we trade it here.



To Your Trading Success,

 

AG

Andrew Giovinazzi

30-Year Trading Pro

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Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

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About the Author

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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