Tim Colby

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Tim Colby is a macro trader and strategist with 15 years of derivatives experience spanning the AMEX and CBOE trading floors through managing a discretionary macro portfolio. He built strategies that scaled past $200M in AUM, delivered 75% profitable months with no losing years, and earned a Pinnacle Award nomination for best three-year discretionary return. He trades his own capital and publishes research through Option Pit.

Market Alert

VIX Spikes Above 30: What It Means

Strategy

Best Iron Condor Setups This Week

Education

Earnings Season Volatility Guide

Market Analysis

Fed Rate Decision Analysis

Education

Options Greeks Deep Dive

Years Trading

Assets Managed

Published Books

Students Taught

Articles by

Tim Colby

articles published

Reboot

My Anthropic Hunch Saved Me on May 11th

Hi Traders. Back in February, Anthropic raised $30 billion at a $380 billion valuation. I saw the headline and wanted in. That happened right around

Pit Report

Two Financials: One Coiled, One Broken

Dear Trader, The VIX had a wild ride this week. Monday started with the market still digesting Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish tone from Friday

Reboot

Seven Percent, Every Midterm Year but One

Hi Traders, Saturday afternoon I was down to the last window and the last few cuts on a trim project. I marked 34 and a

Reboot

Semiconductors were the ATM. That just ended.

Hi Traders, For the last few weeks, semiconductors were the market's ATM. Every time the market needed money somewhere else, it came out of the

Pit Report

Frep_TC_07102026

Hi traders, The ATM Ran Dry For the last few weeks the semiconductors were the ATM machine for this market. Every time cash was needed

Reboot

The ATM Is Still Dispensing

Hi traders, Semiconductors have become the ATM of this market. VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) delivered years' worth of expected returns in two months. The money

Reboot

Should You Expect a Gas Dividend?

Hi Traders, I wrote you a full map: the consumer is staging a comeback, and the recovery is walking through the economy in paycheck order.

Pit Report

The breakout Wall Street already buried

Hello {$esp_first_name|default:Trader}, Tim Colby built a scanner that does one weird thing: it ranks every breakout by age. Oldest on top, newest on the bottom.

Reboot

One stock to ride, one group to run from

Hey Trader, On our May 14th State of the Market show, I argued the pain trade in stocks was up. Not down. With everyone certain

Reboot

I’m live in 30 minutes

Dear Trader, I’m live with AG this morning at 10 AM Eastern, and you are going to want to be in the room. Earnings season

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Tim Colby is a macro trader and strategist with 15 years of derivatives experience spanning the AMEX and CBOE

Chief Investment Officer

Karman Line Capital

2015 - Present

Options Market Maker

Chicago Board Options Exchange

1992 - 2010

Upcoming Events

FOMC Meeting

2:00 PM EST

Earnings Season Begins

Pre-market

Options Expiration

Market Close

NFP Report

8:30 AM EST

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