Tim Colby

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Tim Colby is a macro trader and strategist with 15 years of derivatives experience spanning the AMEX and CBOE trading floors through managing a discretionary macro portfolio. He built strategies that scaled past $200M in AUM, delivered 75% profitable months with no losing years, and earned a Pinnacle Award nomination for best three-year discretionary return. He trades his own capital and publishes research through Option Pit.

Market Alert

VIX Spikes Above 30: What It Means

Strategy

Best Iron Condor Setups This Week

Education

Earnings Season Volatility Guide

Market Analysis

Fed Rate Decision Analysis

Education

Options Greeks Deep Dive

Years Trading

Assets Managed

Published Books

Students Taught

Articles by

Tim Colby

articles published

Pit Report

Wings Up, Bitcoin Down

Hey Traders, On Thursday the Nasdaq dropped $400 billion in about an hour. All it took was one report saying OpenAI’s revenue came in $20

Reboot

Turns Leave Fingerprints

Hi Traders, A mentor of mine used to say, “One stock does not a market make.” So why did one headline about one company move

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The Dollar-Store Masking Tape Holding This Market Up

Hey Traders, On Thursday, one newspaper story knocked $400 billion off the Nasdaq in about an hour. I watched Oracle and Nvidia slide down my

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I Read the News Second

Hi Traders. I can like a company all day long. It doesn't matter. I can like their story, their products, the CEO, the chart. If

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The Junkiest Bonds Just Crossed a Line

Hey Traders, The bond selloff is chewing through everything except the biggest names in the index. Junk bonds, consumer staples and real estate can't catch

Pit Report

Credit’s Cracking. Why Are Chips Still Up?

Hey traders, It started with bond yields, and now credit's piling on too. Junk bonds can't catch a bid (nobody's stepping up to buy them),

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The Name I Would’ve Missed

Hi Traders, A stock gets crushed. It's down 40, 50, 60 percent, and then it climbs 10 percent from the low. Now you have to

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Anthropic’s IPO Isn’t for Us Either

Hi Traders. Three weeks ago I told you I tried to buy Anthropic at a $380 billion valuation and couldn't find a door I trusted.

Pit Report

Love the Wakeups

Hey Traders, The Fed hiked a quarter point Wednesday, and the new chair wouldn't commit to anything past it. So the market filled in the

Reboot

The Chart I Watched While Warsh Talked

Hi Traders, Going into Wednesday, nobody knew what kind of Fed we had. I don't blame Warsh for that. He just got the job, and

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Tim Colby is a macro trader and strategist with 15 years of derivatives experience spanning the AMEX and CBOE

Chief Investment Officer

Karman Line Capital

2015 - Present

Options Market Maker

Chicago Board Options Exchange

1992 - 2010

Upcoming Events

FOMC Meeting

2:00 PM EST

Earnings Season Begins

Pre-market

Options Expiration

Market Close

NFP Report

8:30 AM EST

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