Yellow Light – Mega Cap Divergence Breaking Down

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Today's Signal

YELLOW LIGHT

I have to go yellow again as the S&P 500 futures are up against resistance and the QQQs and SMH are lower.

Signal by Licia Leslie

GREEN: High probability of the market moving higher.
YELLOW TODAY: Be cautious when making a directional trade.
RED: High likelihood of the market dropping.

Today's Levels

S&P Futures Key Levels · Thursday, November 5 · via Licia Leslie

Level S&P FUT
Resistance 2 (50-day MA) 7,798.75
Resistance 1 7,736.80
Premarket Price 7,720.75
Support 1 7,650.00
Support 2 7,596.75
SPX Levels Chart

Our first level of resistance is our high so far and it is holding. It is the convergence of the 20 and 50 day moving averages on the daily chart.

How to Use Today's Levels

Red = resistance: watch for price to stall or reverse; a clean break above is bullish.

Green = support: watch for price to hold or bounce; a break below is bearish.

The center row is the premarket reference point for the session. Trade in the direction of today's signal.

The Number

+370%

An SPX 7,745 call that expired Wednesday, November 4 opened at $1.15. By the high of the day it traded at $5.40, a $425 gain per contract (370%) for traders who caught the move.

Volume Anomaly

SPX 0DTE Volume: 3.4M Contracts

0DTE SPX volume on Wednesday, November 4 came in at 3.4M contracts, roughly 7% above the 20-day average of 3.1M. Call and put activity were roughly balanced, with 1.6M calls vs 1.7M puts. The heaviest call volume concentrated at the 7,710, 7,700, 7,715 strikes. On the put side, the 7,700, 7,690, 7,695 strikes saw the most action. The put/call ratio finished at 1.05, a fairly neutral read from the options market.

Editor's Note

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

0DTE Analyst, Option Pit

SMH is down over 3% this morning with QQQs lower also. The equal weight (RSP) and Dow stocks (DIA) were able to shrug that off yesterday and trade much higher. We will see if the divergence continues today. I think it may take us lower.

Yesterday's Close

SPX

7,688.62

+1.58%

VIX

16.61

-20.30%

SPY

766.81

+1.65%

QQQ

691.95

+0.97%

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

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About the Author

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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