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Back to the markets..

I know what you're seeing out there: The 50-day crossed below the 200-day in late March.

That's a death cross, and it has everyone running for the exits.

The S&P bottomed near 6,310 and the bears are convinced we're heading back there.

I disagree.

I know this may sound crazy, but my charts are saying higher from here:

As the futures move into the next channel on the pitchfork (a trendline tool that maps where price should find support and resistance), they'll need to trade over the 200-day moving average at $6,684.90.

The pitchfork has been working. We bounced right off the lower channel in late March and have strung together four straight up sessions since. That lower channel held, and now the price is climbing into the next one.

Then we rally to $6,750 and $6,767.25.

That $6,767 level matters because it's right near where the 50-day moving average crossed under the 200-day. Reclaiming that area would undo the death cross signal and force the bears to rethink their thesis.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and MACD (two momentum indicators that measure whether a stock is gaining or losing steam) are both bullish here.

There's a lot of news and a ceasefire to process.

I'm watching $6,500 as my line in the sand on the downside. If we hold above it and clear the 200-day, the rally is real. If we break below $6,500, I'll reassess.

Thank You For Reading.

See You Next Tuesday,

Licia Leslie