Something’s Up & It Won’t Be the Market

By Licia Leslie

July 13, 2025

Hi Shoppers,

 

There is a hint of bearishness in the air.

 

Let me show you.

 

The S&P 500 (Ticker: SPX) closed below the median line of my pitchfork which held as support since June 30th.

 

May not be a big deal but we will see.

 

As the SPX is climbing with higher lows, the relative strength index is showing us bearish divergence meaning it is trending lower:

The RSI has also crossed back below 70 which is a bearish signal.

 

The moving average convergence divergence or MACD is slightly sloping bearish. (MACD on the QQQs has turned red.)


The SPX weekly chart may be sporting a tweezers top candlestick pattern which occurs when two candles have the same high and this tweezers second candle is a doji:

This may be signaling a top.

 

Of course we need confirmation of the market trading lower on Monday.

 

A little icing on the cake, gold futures have perked up again denoting uncertainty may be returning to the market.

 

And lastly there was this headline on Friday:

I rest my case.

 

Trade Review

 

IBM never traded higher on Friday so no trade was made.

Thank You For Reading … See You Next Tuesday,

 

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Head of Technical Analysis

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Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

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About the Author

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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