Barbie’s a Big Hit … MAT Is a Sell

BY BILL GRIFFO

July 29, 2023

 

Each week, I’ll give an overview of a stock and Licia Leslie will follow that up with a chart analysis the next day. Bill Griffo will chime in with macro analysis and Andrew Giovinazzi will then finish out the week with a volatility breakdown.

 

Have a stock YOU want us to review? Email my team here. – Mark

 

Hey Traders,

 

Growing up, my sister, who was only 15 months older than me, was a huge Barbie fan. She had the cars, the outfits, and, of course, Ken. 

 

It looks like the movie has been a smash hit so far. Let’s face it – any movie with Margot Robbie and Ryan Gosling will attract crowds, so let’s see if it has staying power. 

 

Mattel Inc (Ticker: MAT) has not had the same success after making new highs this week. 

 

In fact it looks like a sale …

 

Taking It to the MAT

 

The MAT charting pattern below illustrates the classic reversal pattern. …

 

On the spike above $22 this week the relative strength index did come close to making a new high. 

 

On top of that, a bearish candlestick formed and was confirmed on Friday by making a lower low.

 

The other key confirmation came from the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) when its oscillator crossed below its 9-day signal line:

 

 

However, with MAT’s Morningstar fair value price at $25, any pullback is a buy. 

 

The $19.5 to $20 would be a good area to put on a tight call spread with a target of $22. 

 

You never know, maybe the baby boomer crowd will pay up to stream Barbie and push MAT up to its fair value price of $25 …

 

Live and Trade With Passion My Friends,

 

Bill Griffo

Bill Griffo

Head Income Trader

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About the Author

William Griffo

William Griffo

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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