Trade Update and Market Outlook 12-12

BY BILL GRIFFO 

December 12, 2023

 

Morning Income Hunters,

 

Key Levels to Watch

 

Short Term SPX Resistance: 4,655

Short Term SPX Support: 4,575

SPX Risk Pivot Level: 4,600

Major SPX Range High/Resistance: 4,700

Major SPX Range Low/Support: 4,400

 

  • Look for higher volatility this week (12/11), triggered by 12/12 CPI, 12/13 FOMC and into the massive 12/15 OpEx.

 

SPY Call walls shift higher SPX 4,600 to 4700 and SPY 460 to 465 as S&P products accumulate $5.5 billion in positive option flow.

 

 

SPY call buyers re-enter with new purchases and roll existing positions higher … Notice buying of $500 calls and closing of $460 to buy $466.

 

 

Daily Roadmap

 

SPX futures are unchanged in pre-market. Key SG levels for the SPX are:

 

Support: 4,600, 4,572

Resistance: 4,627, 4,655, 4,700

1 Day Implied Range: 0.59%

 

Note the IWM/QQQ Call Walls remain unchanged at 190/400.

 

The most likely scenario is that volatility picks up in the middle of next week during:

 

  • CPI
  • FOMC  
  • Treasury Supply
  • FOMC

 

Today, the Treasury issues – $21 billion 30 year bonds at 1pm.

 

Gamma Levels for our Core Watchlist:

 

 

AMD – call wall increased from $130 to $135

META – Call Wall dropped back to 430 

MSFT – Call Wall dropped back from $380 to $375

NVDA – Put Wall rises $20  back to $450

SPY – Call Wall rises $5 $460 to $465

 

Have a great day!

 

Live and Trade with Passion My Friends,

 

Bill Griffo

Bill Griffo

Head Income Trader

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CAPITOL GAINS: SMR Aug16 7 call closed for a 150% gain

DELTA STRIKE: VLY Mar15 8 puts closed for a 88% gain

PFE May17 26 calls closed for a 66% win

OP MENTORING: SPY Mar22/19 510 put calendars and 520 calls for 6.4% gain

OPTION SHOPPER: ERX Mar28 65 calls closed for a 90% gain

William Griffo

William Griffo

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William Griffo

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About the Author

William Griffo

William Griffo

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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