SMH rally vs AMD earnings risk today

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Today's Signal

YELLOW LIGHT

Mixed bag with S&P 500 down, QQQs up slightly and SMH up over 2%.

Signal by Licia Leslie

GREEN: High probability of the market moving higher.
YELLOW TODAY: Be cautious when making a directional trade.
RED: High likelihood of the market dropping.

Today's Levels

S&P Futures Key Levels · Tuesday, November 3 · via Licia Leslie

Level S&P FUT
Resistance 2 (50-day MA) 7,656.75
Resistance 1 7,569.75
Premarket Price 7,564.00
Support 1 7,548.50
Support 2 7,501.50
SPX Levels Chart

Below $7548, we can drop to $7500 pretty quickly.

How to Use Today's Levels

Red = resistance: watch for price to stall or reverse; a clean break above is bullish.

Green = support: watch for price to hold or bounce; a break below is bearish.

The center row is the premarket reference point for the session. Trade in the direction of today's signal.

The Number

+380%

An SPX 6,800 put that expired Monday, November 2 opened at $0.15. By the high of the day it traded at $0.72, a $57 gain per contract (380%) for traders who caught the move.

Volume Anomaly

SPX 0DTE Volume: 3.9M Contracts

0DTE SPX volume on Monday, November 2 came in at 3.9M contracts, roughly 24% above the 20-day average of 3.1M. Call and put activity were roughly balanced, with 1.9M calls vs 2.0M puts. The heaviest call volume concentrated at the 7,600, 7,650, 7,630 strikes. On the put side, the 7,600, 7,580, 7,550 strikes saw the most action. The put/call ratio finished at 1.08, a fairly neutral read from the options market.

Editor's Note

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

0DTE Analyst, Option Pit

I still say keep your eye on SMH as it is rallying this morning but we do have AMD earnings after the close today which could take this market another leg lower. Watch your SPX five minute chart for $7548 to fail as we will drop pretty quickly to $7501. QQQs below the 200 day moving average will trade $661.33.

Yesterday's Close

SPX

7,541.40

-0.51%

VIX

21.15

+8.91%

SPY

752.10

-0.48%

QQQ

681.09

-1.36%

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

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About the Author

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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