Overnight gains erased – 7700 is the line

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Today's Signal

YELLOW LIGHT

Nice rally yesterday and futures were up $30 overnight but are now giving that all back.

Signal by Licia Leslie

GREEN: High probability of the market moving higher.
YELLOW TODAY: Be cautious when making a directional trade.
RED: High likelihood of the market dropping.

Today's Levels

S&P Futures Key Levels · Friday, September 18 · via Licia Leslie

Level S&P FUT
Resistance 2 (50-day MA) 7,755.75
Resistance 1 7,739.25
Premarket Price 7,700.00
Support 1 7,679.79
Support 2 7,644.67
SPX Levels Chart

I am using the 20 and 50 day moving averages as support levels but be aware these levels have been ignored since Sep9.

How to Use Today's Levels

Red = resistance: watch for price to stall or reverse; a clean break above is bullish.

Green = support: watch for price to hold or bounce; a break below is bearish.

The center row is the premarket reference point for the session. Trade in the direction of today's signal.

The Number

+200%

An SPX 6,600 put that expired Thursday, September 17 opened at $0.05. By the high of the day it traded at $0.15, a $10 gain per contract (200%) for traders who caught the move.

Volume Anomaly

SPX 0DTE Volume: 2.5M Contracts

0DTE SPX volume on Thursday, September 17 came in at 2.5M contracts, roughly 8% below the 20-day average of 2.8M. Call and put activity were roughly balanced, with 1.2M calls vs 1.3M puts. The heaviest call volume concentrated at the 7,640, 7,650, 7,645 strikes. On the put side, the 7,630, 7,635, 7,625 strikes saw the most action. The put/call ratio finished at 1.05, a fairly neutral read from the options market.

Editor's Note

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

0DTE Analyst, Option Pit

I have been saying I do not trust this rally. We need to maintain and close over $7700-$7713 to take that next leg higher. Again the 20 and 50 day moving averages have been ignored so we could sell off. Below the 50 dma support is at $7622.75. Crude is down slightly but yields are bouncing back. Continue to watch those.

Yesterday's Close

SPX

7,637.76

+1.14%

VIX

15.44

-12.80%

SPY

762.60

+1.13%

QQQ

716.92

+1.73%

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

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About the Author

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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