Futures rally to 7785 – bond yields pose risk

Today's Signal

GREEN LIGHT

I am giving us a green light today as the futures are trading higher. I am still cautious with the bond yields trading back to the highs of Jul31.

Signal by Licia Leslie

GREEN TODAY: High probability of the market moving higher.
YELLOW: Be cautious when making a directional trade.
RED: High likelihood of the market dropping.

Today's Levels

S&P Futures Key Levels · Tuesday, August 11 · via Licia Leslie

Level S&P FUT
Resistance 2 (50-day MA) 7,844.00
Resistance 1 7,820.25
Premarket Price 7,788.25
Support 1 7,726.25
Support 2 7,643.75
SPX Levels Chart

We are breaking out above the 7785.25 resistance which will become support with a close above.

How to Use Today's Levels

Red = resistance: watch for price to stall or reverse; a clean break above is bullish.

Green = support: watch for price to hold or bounce; a break below is bearish.

The center row is the premarket reference point for the session. Trade in the direction of today's signal.

The Number

+560%

An SPX 7,610 put that expired Monday, August 10 opened at $0.25. By the high of the day it traded at $1.65, a $140 gain per contract (560%) for traders who caught the move.

Volume Anomaly

SPX 0DTE Volume: 2.2M Contracts

0DTE SPX volume on Monday, August 10 came in at 2.2M contracts, roughly 25% below the 20-day average of 2.9M. Call and put activity were roughly balanced, with 1.1M calls vs 1.1M puts. The heaviest call volume concentrated at the 7,760, 7,755, 7,770 strikes. On the put side, the 7,750, 7,745, 7,740 strikes saw the most action. The put/call ratio finished at 1.01, a fairly neutral read from the options market.

Editor's Note

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

0DTE Analyst, Option Pit

The futures are looking bullish over 7785.25. From there they will trade to the high of Aug5. Only a break below 7726.25 can take us lower.

Yesterday's Close

SPX

7,753.11

-0.06%

VIX

15.46

+3.76%

SPY

773.03

-0.03%

QQQ

720.87

-0.30%

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

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About the Author

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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