Why Yesterday was Rough

BY MARK SEBASTIAN 

April 22nd, 2025

Hey Traders,

 

Make sure you are watching the bond market, there are still some underlying risks in that market that appear to be heading to the forefront.

 

While the 10 year seems pretty stable, the back end of the curve (notes with 20-30 years) are having real issues.

 

Thus iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (Ticker: TLT) getting smoked on Monday:

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (Ticker: TLT) closed at a new recent low – looking weak. If it gets another push, this could break the October 2023 lows, which would be a real problem.

 

Watch a break below 85 and keep an eye on the 30 year yield. If you see a yield that starts with a 5, we are going to tank.

 

The close of the day on Monday was mildly encouraging, but I need to see a rally hold to buy any bounce this morning.

 

Make sure to join me and my team live at 10 a.m. ET – I am guiding you through this mess every day.

 

Add it to your calendar.

Let’s Recap Yesterday’s Trade

 

No Trade, but I am eyeing a super overnight.

 

…Today’s Outlook

 

I think we open up and then roll over…be prepared.


Call Ted if you aren’t currently a member – 888 872 3301.

Your Only Option,

 

Mark Sebastian

 

Mark Sebastian

Founder & CEO, Option Pit

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Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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