The Mighty Are Falling

Yo, Pit Crazies,


I remember when Research in Motion started a long slow decline to zero.


Everyone used a Blackberry phone and then they didn’t. 


I am not going to say that will happen to Advanced Micro Devices (Ticker: AMD), but something is up with the stock.


One-year chart of AMD and a drop from $160 to $58


Is it time to buy, sell or hold?


Not A Time to Buy, In My Opinion

AMD is going through the painful reality of multiple compression.


I have been in the markets since 1989 and I never saw a semiconductor company maintain a 20+ earning multiple for more than a year or two.  


The business is too cyclical and the business cycle catches up with them eventually.


I’m thinking Q4 will be a candy store time to buy names like AMD, Nvidia Inc (Ticker: NVDA), and Qualcomm Inc. (Ticker: QCOM), etc. as the list goes on.


I think most big tech names will get back to their pre-Covid areas, with a few exceptions.


My number for AMD is around $50, so 1×2 puts spread selling puts at the 50 strike and buying puts closer to $60 would make a lot of sense.


I started my Div+ Program in OP Mentoring because I wanted to add a strategy to take advantage of dividend paying stocks the market did not like.


That strategy has performed well since June – with top-end gains of 143%! – as stocks went nowhere.


More to come on that this week.


The Rundown


OP Mentoring

I closed an Apple Inc (Ticker: AAPL) call calendar and put for a 9% gain. I used the market neutral strategy that I teach in OP mentoring.


Pro Chat Room

The Pro Room was busy Friday.


To Your Trading Success,

AG

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

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About the Author

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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