The chart says buy one, dump the other.

Hey,

Charlie here.

Licia Leslie doesn't chase headlines.

Because news… Well, it can be manipulated. It can be biased. Or downright fabricated.

But a stock’s chart? Licia knows it can reveal price action that doesn’t lie. And when she combines her chart-reading expertise with her pitchfork analysis, she finds a high probability price point a stock is destined to hit within the next five to seven days.

This week, two mega-cap names showed up at opposite ends of her pitchfork.

One is the biggest retailer on the planet, quietly bouncing off support and clearing its moving averages while nobody was paying attention. The other just posted earnings and gapped lower, which in Licia's world means one thing: it's not done falling.

Both names are in your shopping cart, your closet, or both. The difference is one has buyers stepping in and the other has sellers taking over.

Here's Licia with the breakdown.

 


 

Hi Traders,

The stock I love this week is Walmart (WMT). It held support and broke back into the next channel:

The stock cleared the median line and closed above both the 20 and 50-day moving averages. MACD (a momentum indicator that tracks whether buyers or sellers are gaining steam) just turned bullish while RSI is moving in the same direction.

My target: the top of the channel at $128.52.

Walmart pulls in over $713 billion a year. It's not just a grocery store anymore. Between its ad business, marketplace, and Walmart+ memberships, it's quietly turning into a tech company that also sells paper towels. And the chart says buyers agree.

The stock to buy puts on this week is Nike (NKE):

It just gapped down (opened well below where it closed the day before) on the earnings report and looks lower to the bottom of my pitchfork at $41.23.

The rule with a gap: as long as it's maintained, the stock keeps moving in the same direction.

Nike still owns the swoosh, but the brand is mid-turnaround under CEO Elliott Hill. Tariffs are eating into North America margins, direct-to-consumer sales are sliding, and net income dropped 35 percent last quarter. The chart isn't lying. This one has more room to fall.

Trade Accordingly,

Licia Leslie

 


 

There it is.

One stock clearing resistance with momentum behind it. One stock gapping lower with no floor in sight.

Walmart is doing what healthy stocks do: holding support, reclaiming its moving averages, and giving Licia a clean target. Nike is doing what broken stocks do: gapping down on earnings and confirming the downtrend.

Now the real question: will the team pick either of these on Monday?

Join the Ticker Highlight Show Premium before Monday at 10:30 AM ET to find out.

See you there,

Charles Delvalle

Managing Editor, Option Pit

 

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

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About the Author

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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