Let’s Learn Something New

 

Hey Shoppers,

 

You have all seen me use my three favorite candlesticks: the doji, the hammer and the hanging man.

 

They are great at signaling changes in stock trends.

 

Now I would like to introduce a new candlestick formation to our repertoire.

 

It is called an engulfing pattern and it also signals trend changes.

 

The engulfing pattern requires two consecutive candlesticks — which can be bullish or bearish — and is found at the top of an uptrend or the bottom of a downtrend.

 

The engulfing pattern looks just like the name. It is a candlestick that engulfs the whole real body of the previous candle.

 

Behold the bullish version …


      • A bullish engulfing pattern will be a green candle (or white), taking over the real body of the previous candle which has to be red (or black).
      • It does not have to engulf the upper or lower shadows, if there are any.
      • It is found at the bottom of a downtrend which can be short term in duration.

 

And the bearish version …


 

      • A bearish engulfing pattern will be a red (or black) candle following and engulfing a green (or white) candle.
      • It will engulf the whole real body but doesn’t need to include the upper or lower shadows.
      • It will be found at the top of an uptrend.

 

Engulfing PLUG

 

Here is the bullish engulfing pattern in Plug Power (Ticker: PLUG).

 

 

It has since traded higher and I think it will continue to trade up to at least $30.50.

 

PLUG traded a high of $75.49 on Jan. 26 and has been in a downtrend ever since.

 

The recent low was $18.47 on May 11. It closed at $24.58 on Friday.

 

Looking at the options, I would like to buy a call spread in the Jun18 cycle. It has good volume trading and the markets are pretty narrow.

 

 

I like buying the Jun18 25 calls with an implied volatility of 92.08 and selling the 31 calls with an implied volatility of 95.28.

 

Paying $1.60 for this six point spread with 35 days until expiration is a great value.

 

Now there are two caveats to this trade idea …

 

      • The earnings come out on May 20, which will most likely move this stock and the volatility can come down once the earnings are announced.
      • Since I am only paying $1.60 for this spread and it has 35 days until expiration I am willing to ride out the earnings announcement.

 

If the spread trades below a dollar, I will take my losses. I would like to see the stock trade close to $30 before I begin to take any profits.

 

I hope I have helped you expand your mind — and your trading account! 

 

Thanks for Reading … See You Next Tuesday!

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

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About the Author

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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