Do You See What I See?

Hi Shoppers,


I’m kicking off the week talking about the chip shortage crisis — again.


Sorry, but I think it is very important.


You see, chip manufacturing is a very particular undertaking.


Suppliers can’t just find any old warehouse or factory and start spitting these things out.


The chips are made in special facilities called semiconductor fabrication plants — or fabs


These fabs can cost billions of dollars and take up to two years to build.


The environment where chips are actually created is known as a “clean room” and cannot have any dust particles or vibration …


The temperature and humidity also need to be controlled to reduce static electricity.



A clean room at NASA


Everyone from car and gaming component manufacturers to cryptocurrency blockchain producers are in need of chips …


The end demand for these things is nowhere in sight!


On My Radar


I’m adding the following stocks to my radar, as these companies make pieces of expensive equipment — ranging from $700,000 to $4 million — used in fabs.


– Lam Research (Ticker: LRCX)

– Advantest Corp (Ticker: ATEYY)

– ASML (Ticker: ASML)

– Teradyne (Ticker: TER)


A New Trade Idea


I see a doji in Applied Micro Devices (Ticker: AMD).



I know … I lost money on my last trade idea in AMD.


But, I got out in time to be able to re-enter with a new trade idea.


Remember, you always want to be able to trade again the next day — so stick to your trading plan.


If AMD opens today higher than $78.52, which is Friday’s close, I am going to buy a call vertical spread.


Looking at the options, I would like it to be a nearer term expiration, so that I am not paying any extra premium.


I like the Mar19 79/86 call spread paying $1.90-$1.95.


I am buying the 79 calls with an implied volatility of 42.99 and selling the 86 calls with a 44.69 implied volatility.


Like I said, I will only be executing this spread if AMD is opening and trading higher than Friday’s close.


I will take my losses if the spread trades down to $1.20.


I think this spread has great potential on the upside as AMD just traded $86 on March 2, four trading days ago.


Shoppers, also check out the doji in TER. Follow the same guidelines and there could be a great opportunity there, as well.


Have a great week!


Thanks for Reading … See You Next Tuesday!


Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

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About the Author

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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