Why 24% Is A Number We ALL Care About

24%!!!  That is how much AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, FB, and the GOOGLE twins now make up of the S&P 500… Think about that: 1% of the S&P 500, just 5 companies, are now a quarter of its value! You know what’s even more crazy?? ALL of those stocks are a part of the NDX (Nasdaq […]

AAPL is Gonna Throw It (Here’s Why)

The QQQ is at an all time high by a long shot.The S&P 500 is within a stone’s throw of its all time high.The only index that people really follow that is ‘dragging it’ is the Dow Jones Industrial Average.This is because as many of you know, the industrials have been soft.Yes, it has MSFT […]

IV30 vs HV30: Using Implied Volatility to Predict Market Direction

I thought I would launch a cruise missile of an idea right at the readers of Expiring Monthly.  At first blush someone would read that title and say, “Yeah, yeah when the VIX is under 20 it is bullish and when the VIX is over 20 it is bearish for stocks in general.”  Surprise, I…

Fail On The Field – Fail In Trading

Many of you know that my son plays baseball and I get to have fun coaching the team. I love baseball and loved playing it. In fact I have so many fond memories of the game. Memories that matter for winning in life and trading! I remember playing one of our worst players. The crazy […]

Tech Warning…FAANMG Alert

What a week! The “QQQ-is-overpriced-trade” got completely AAPL’d…and AMZN’d…and FB’d The only major tech firm that truly disappointed on earnings was Google. I am not sure what is going on with GOOGL, but they are in danger of being left behind. the MAGAF stocks all cleaned up on earnings….except GOOGLE The tiers for stocks used […]

How To Buy The Rumor and Sell the News

What does sell the news mean? Have you ever actually taken the time to ponder that? I know I have not as much as I should. The issue is that some news gets bought…. …Really BOUGHT…. Some news does not. What is the difference between the two? I ask this question because as I write […]

Rare – Market Delivers Punishment

We saw a really interesting trend develop among some of the mega caps last week… …they got punished for good earnings. Take a look at MSFT,  they had great earnings and continue to show massive cloud growth…but the stock got slapped last week. TSLA, the darling of Robinhood and the dread of traditional investors blew […]

Am I Day Trading Berkshire?

The big news as Berkshire Hathaway was trading in the 170’s two weeks ago was that AAPL represented about 20% of the value of its holdings… Over half of its stock portfolio at the highs. Or Did it? Was Berkshire being crushed in a completely illogical way? Was its holdings of Burlington Northern Santa Fe,  […]