The One Number That Tells You When This War Is Over
Yo Pit Crazies, Iran fired two missiles in 24 hours. Whether that number is perfectly accurate or not, the direction is clear: Three weeks into this war, Iran's offensive output has slowed to a crawl. The navy is gone. The air force is gone. Israel claims the ability to enrich uranium and produce ballistic missiles […]
The VIX Curve Is Screaming, Are You Listening?
Yo Pit Crazies, AG's alter-ego Vol Man here with my weekly analysis. As usual, I start with my last forecast. If my Option Volatility Jargon is vexing, tap our Glossary here. Last Week’s Big call for Mar 20 Remember when Hamas invaded Israel in Oct 2024? Oil prices spiked and everyone thought the worst. Now […]
Another Friday, another weekend full of mischief
Yo pit crazies, Day 10 and the first day of spring. I was hoping the Iran Conflict would wind down once the ice melted, but that didn't happen. Tomorrow marks 21 days, and this conflict won't have a quick fix. As you can see below, except for the icy morning, the giant ice bridge that […]
Today at 7PM: What happens when no one is buying
Yo Pit Crazies, Yesterday I told you about three stocks where I caught institutional accumulation before the prices moved. Today I want to show you the other side. My system doesn't just find stocks to buy. It also tells you when institutional money is absent, defensive, or quietly walking away. That signal is just as […]
The signal hiding in the options chain
Yo Pit Crazies, In December 2025, almost no one wanted energy stocks. The sector had underperformed the market all year. Everyone was chasing AI names higher, and oil sat near its lows. My scanner said something different. It wasn't opinion or gut feel. It was math. Specifically, it was a 40 percent jump in open […]
I’m not going to hide this one
Yo Pit Crazies, I want to show you something that didn't work. Not because I enjoy it. But because a track record that only shows wins is a brochure, not a methodology. Before you sit in on anything I do, you deserve the full picture. The Win: Novo Nordisk In early mid-November I told some […]
When Bad News Stops Getting Worse
Yo pit crazies! Day six of the Ice Report and the bergs are running out to sea. The top picture has a nice little critter footprint near the middle of the big berg in the center of the screen. I have no idea what the critter is, but I think they are fox prints. The […]
If you don’t like what you see, change the timeline
Day 5 of the Ice Report. It was colder today but the ice is finished breaking up and a nice high tide will pull most of the chunks out to sea. It mostly fractured around the edge of the water line so it will give up the ghost shortly. I can continue my Tony Soprano […]
Everyday Gets Us Closer
VIX is now above 26 and traders are looking for even more of a move as this conflict drags on. As in the Ukraine Invasion, there was a lot of short term upheaval followed by massive changes in consumption from Europe.
Stocks are Priced for Mayhem
Day 3 of the Ice Report. The big chunk of ice going toward my neighbor is running out to sea. I can see blue water in the cover finally so Winter is quickly coming to an end. We are close to having the big day when the whole ice chunk just floats out with the […]