Bonds May Give Stocks More Runway

BY MARK SEBASTIAN 

May 20, 2025

Hey Traders,

On the open, bonds looked like they were going to fall off a cliff.

As one might expect, the S&P 500 was down over 1%.

Instead of falling off a cliff, bonds exploded higher off, and TLT bounced hard off of 85. That’s indicative of a 5% yield in the 30 year treasure holding and long term rates coming down:

The 10 year closed at a 4.41 yield after briefly being over 4.5, and the 30 year bond closed at 4.91 after touching over 5%.

If this ends up being a double bottom in the bond market, stocks might have more runway.

VIX seems to think so:

May is pricing VIX like it is going to 17 and the curve is in a steep contango … that’s usually pretty bullish.

There is still time to join Rip Zone at the founders price. This week, Andrew is going to be walking through the entire strategy with Rip Zone Traders – so this is the time to join. Plus the trading environment for this strategy is GREAT. Click here to join.

Reviewing Friday’s Trade

No Trade.

…Today’s Outlook

If we open up today, I think we get some follow through. I might set up both a single day and super overnight on Tuesday.

Call Ted if you aren’t currently a member – 888 872 3301.

Your Only Option,

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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