BY MARK SEBASTIAN
June 25, 2025
Hey Traders,
The S&P 500 closed just below 6100 on another day of hard rallying.
We are now less than 1% away from a new all time high in the S&P 500.
The QQQ?
Already Done:
Meanwhile, Oil got totally smoked and is to pre-war levels:
With oil now at these levels I would expect the negative correlation between oil prices and the S&P 500 to break and the two to move independently of each other.
I also could see an even bigger move in VIX than we have already seen.
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Reviewing Yesterday’s Trade
I put on a super overnight in TNA. Let’s see the RUT play some catch up:
The S&P and the QQQ are the sold lines, the candles are the IWM. You can see what I was going for here.
…Today’s Outlook
I would expect Wednesday to be more of an inside day … but lean bullish. I think we pierce a close over 6100. Maybe not a new all time high.
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Your Only Option,
Mark Sebastian