The Earnings Surprise Taking VIX For A Ride

The Option Pit VIX Light Is Yellow: Volatility Is Going To Move.


Hey Traders,


Well, I would say that Amazon (Ticker: AMZN) caught the market by surprise:



The stock is getting crushed, and it is sending reverbs throughout the whole market.


Here is what happened, and its ramifications for the VIX.


You might not know this but there is actually a VIX for Amazon … CBOE Amazon VIX (Ticker: VXAZN).


And I will say this, the VXAZN did NOT see AMZN’s post-earnings move coming. 


Check out the chart of VXAZN at the close on Thursday:



That’s right. Heading into earnings, volatility was down, not up.


The Amazon earnings straddle was only about $100:



When a HUGE company has earnings that bad, it can send shockwaves across the market.


And we are seeing that today with the VIX up 0.75 into the weekend.


That said … these things do tend to wane quickly. 


While AMZN could be due for a rough couple of weeks, I think we will see the VIX drop, despite my belief we could see the VIX make a run at 25 in the next month.


I would be a buyer of ProShares Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETF (Ticker: UVXY) puts as we head into the weekend.


The Aug. 6 27.5-strike puts are a little over $1.00; there is value there.


Speaking of value … Frank and Andrew were dishing out some tasty morsels of trading knowledge last night.


Spilling hedge fund secrets left and right … these guys were really getting into it, and if you were there, you probably walked away with a few valuable new ideas to implement into your own trading.


If you missed it … you can watch the replay here.


Or find out more about how to get maximum value out of Andrew and Frank right here.


Your Only Option,


Mark Sebastian


Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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