Rally Retest at Resistance: Yellow Light Signal

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Today's Signal

YELLOW LIGHT

Do not trust this rally. It needs to hold throughout the day and show follow through tomorrow.

Signal by Licia Leslie

GREEN: High probability of the market moving higher.
YELLOW TODAY: Be cautious when making a directional trade.
RED: High likelihood of the market dropping.

Today's Levels

S&P Futures Key Levels · Thursday, July 30 · via Licia Leslie

Level S&P FUT
Resistance 2 (50-day MA) 7,417.00
Resistance 1 7,404.25
Premarket Price 7,402.25
Support 1 7,350.00
Support 2 7,324.00
SPX Levels Chart

If we trade over $7417 the next level of resistance sits at $7442. Below $7324, the support is at $7258.25.

How to Use Today's Levels

Red = resistance: watch for price to stall or reverse; a clean break above is bullish.

Green = support: watch for price to hold or bounce; a break below is bearish.

The center row is the premarket reference point for the session. Trade in the direction of today's signal.

The Number

+400%

An SPX 7,100 put that expired Wednesday, July 29 opened at $0.07. By the high of the day it traded at $0.35, a $28 gain per contract (400%) for traders who caught the move.

Volume Anomaly

SPX 0DTE Volume: 2.8M Contracts

0DTE SPX volume on Wednesday, July 29 came in at 2.8M contracts, roughly 3% below the 20-day average of 2.8M. Put activity dominated, with 1.3M calls vs 1.5M puts. The heaviest call volume concentrated at the 7,450, 7,400, 7,440 strikes. On the put side, the 7,350, 7,300, 7,290 strikes saw the most action. The put/call ratio finished at 1.12, a defensive tilt from options traders.

Editor's Note

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

0DTE Analyst, Option Pit

This morning's rally is the futures coming back to retest that old support, now new resistance, as it closed below there yesterday. This almost always happens. Watch for the market to roll over at these resistance levels. Also keep you eye the bond yields.

Yesterday's Close

SPX

7,316.15

-1.52%

VIX

20.66

+13.45%

SPY

729.46

-1.54%

QQQ

661.73

-2.04%

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

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About the Author

Licia Leslie

Licia Leslie

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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