Yo Pit Crazies,
Right now stocks need to make a comeback … or at least find a footing after coming down from such lofty heights.
I am reminded that after the dot-com crash, the ProShares QQQ Trust (Ticker: QQQ) got slammed down to below $18.
That’s right .. $18. It closed yesterday at more than $318.
Every bear market has an opportunity.
I don’t think the QQQ is going back to $18, but it is already down 20% from its highs.
Most of the high growth names are down much more than that.
Let’s do a quick if/then with today’s FOMC meeting.
Stocks Are Stuck to Whatever the Fed Says in the Short Term
I hate to be a broken record but the reality is the Federal Open Market Committee wields a big stick and they gave themselves this job.
I can remember years where no one really cared what the Fed did and it was very little surprise when they did it.
The two choices are:
- Fed is too aggressive: that would be a .50 raise every month and Quantitative Tightening, QT, by selling off their balance sheet of bonds to the market.
- Fed is too dovish-that would be they renege on the QT and the rate rises and sound way too dovish.
A too aggressive Fed would hurt stocks and bonds. A too dovish Fed would lift commodities, stocks and bonds as their current stance has been quite hawkish.
Jeez, I wonder what they will do?
Here’s what you should do …
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To Your Trading Success,
AG