Will stocks make a comeback?

Yo Pit Crazies,

 

Right now stocks need to make a comeback … or at least find a footing after coming down from such lofty heights.

 

I am reminded that after the dot-com crash, the ProShares QQQ Trust (Ticker: QQQ) got slammed down to below $18.

 

That’s right .. $18. It closed yesterday at more than $318.

 

 Every bear market has an opportunity.

 

I don’t think the QQQ is going back to $18, but it is already down 20% from its highs.

 

Most of the high growth names are down much more than that.

 

Let’s do a quick if/then with today’s FOMC meeting.

 

Stocks Are Stuck to Whatever the Fed Says in the Short Term

 

I hate to be a broken record but the reality is the Federal Open Market Committee wields a big stick and they gave themselves this job.

 

I can remember years where no one really cared what the Fed did and it was very little surprise when they did it.

 

The two choices are:

 

  • Fed is too aggressive: that would be a .50 raise every month and Quantitative Tightening, QT, by selling off their balance sheet of bonds to the market.
  • Fed is too dovish-that would be they renege on the  QT and the rate rises and sound way too dovish.

 

A too aggressive Fed would hurt stocks and bonds.  A too dovish Fed would lift commodities, stocks and bonds as their current stance has been quite hawkish.

 

Jeez, I wonder what they will do?

 

Here’s what you should do …

 

>> Grab Power Gains 2.0 today and join Griff and me for our biggest Fed trade of the year. <<

 

To Your Trading Success,

AG

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

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About the Author

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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