“We Have Reached a New Low”

BY MARK SEBASTIAN 

November 30, 2023 

Hey Traders,

 

The SPX tried to break out on Wednesday…it came within a couple of ticks of the high from July

SPX closed 4588.96 on 7/31 on Wednesday it topped out at 4587.64 just a tick away from the July high.

 

That might have been a top for the market.  The VIX actually went up on Wednesday. VIX had been trying to break lower but the last few days it has just sat…

The VIX ended up closing up on Wednesday closing just below 13 at 12.98.  WHile VIX might seem like its bottoming out,  the VVIX,  the cost of VIX options is also going up…

VVIX closed at 87.79…relatively low compared to how it has traded recently…but I would note that the VIX going up at a cheap price and the VVIX going up implied traders want to own calls on VIX.

 

In the end here is the story…options on SPX are WAY too cheap.  The 4560 staddle for December 12th,  2 fulls weeks away is only 70 dollars

THIS IS WAY TOO CHEAP

 

70 dollars for PCE,  Powell Speaking on Friday,  Non-Farm Payrolls,  whatever else.

 

If you are a trader…recognize the opportunity in front of you.

 

Questions about that? Leave a comment below!

 

Your Only Option,

 

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Founder & CEO, Option Pit

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Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

Mark Sebastian

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Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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