VIX Next Move Inside

Since October we are up over 360% in Sharp B.E.T.S. and as vol comes down, like I predict, it should continue to get even better!! You can get in here.

We made a comment last week that put-call ratios were WAY out of whack in the VIX.

A product that normally has more calls than puts had seen the open interest flip.

Even more stunning,  8 of the top 10 open interest strikes were puts.

Since then, the VIX has backed off some, and November options have rolled off.

So what does the landscape look like in the VIX?

Still out of whack,  just not as much as it used to be.

With all the heavy put buying average open interest has shifted to roughly equal calls and puts.

Average open interest is also down by a couple of million contracts (most of which would be calls).

So what does this tell me?

It tells me the market is still leaning short VIX,  and thinking VIX is going to fall.

But there are fewer large bets on an immediate drop in VIX. 

Those best mostly came off yesterday.

What does this mean going forward?  

Until call OI(open interest) gets to about 1.3 or 1.5-to-1 relative to puts,  there is going to be downside pressure on the VIX.

The VIX light is red,  meaning the VIX is likely to drop in the coming weeks.

Your Only Option,

Mark Sebastian

PS – we just notched another 200% gain in my elite trading service “Vol Edge.” Yup…ANOTHER 200% gain. Join when you click here. .

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Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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