My Alarm Bells Are Going Off

BY MARK SEBASTIAN 

March 19, 2024

Hey Traders,

 

Are we seeing volatility swell?

Notice the SPX is rallying still and yet since January we have had higher lows and higher highs in volatility.

 

While maybe this is FOMC related…if vol does not break the low from Mar 1,  I think we are going to see some fireworks into the back half of the month.

TLT is also looking pretty shaky…if interest rates go…so goes the market.  This FOMC meeting could lead to that if they come out hawkish…

 

The VIX curve is super tight,  yes, there are only 2 days left or March…but it is worth noting….April is also tightly on top of the cash index:

All of this smells like we have a huge move coming…probably down…but potentially up.

 

So what do you do about it?

 

Join me tonight and Ill share… you can attend the webinar here.

 

Your Only Option,

 

Mark Sebastian

 

Mark Sebastian

Founder & CEO, Option Pit

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Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

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Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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