Energy Looking Hot Lately

BY ANDREW GIOVINAZZI 

October 15, 2023 

Each week, I’ll give an overview of a stock and Licia Leslie will follow that up with a chart analysis the next day. Bill Griffo will chime in with macro analysis and Andrew Giovinazzi will then finish out the week with a volatility breakdown.

 

Have a stock YOU want us to review? Email my team here. – Mark

TICKER: DVN

 

Hey Traders,

 

Time to put your volatility hat on and take a dance with Devon Energy Inc (Ticker: DVN).  I think DVN is a good bargain based on cash flow, etc but that has not stopped the market from smoking it lower this year.

 

DVN was $64 and just $55 in early Sep.  From there everyone hit the bricks on anything related to energy until this weekend when the Mideast turmoil reminded everyone again how sticky things are.

 

1 year chart of DVN with 90 day IVs

 

We have some higher IVs, so let’s go hunting.

 

6 month highs in IV is nothing to sneeze at

 

IV raged higher into the weekend with traders bidding up calls all across the board.  DVN itself just bounced $5.00 from a recent low of mid-$43 area.  Maybe the takeover of Pioneer Natural Resources (Ticker: PXD) has the animal spirits in oil and gas back again.  Exxon Mobile Corp (Ticker: XOM) is not the only big oil company with some cash in its pockets.


 

For  a trade here, I like long call spreads.  I am already long DVN in the OP Mentoring Div+ strategy from higher prices so a $60 take out would not be terrible for me… (and btw if you want early access to our Trading Desk for more stocks like these give us a call or schedule an appointment https://optionpit.com/contact-us to see if you’re right for OP Mentoring –  Also, the call spreads look reasonably priced for the Jan2024 50/60 for $2.50.  That would be a nice return on a $60 takeout.

We hope this gives you some insight into our volatile energy market. We’ll have a new ticker and updates next week – here in the Northeast – the leaves are about to change… get excited!

 

Questions about that? Leave a comment below!

 

To Your Trading Success,

 

AG

Andrew Giovinazzi

30-Year Trading Pro

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CAPITOL GAINS: SMR Aug16 7 call closed for a 150% gain

DELTA STRIKE: VLY Mar15 8 puts closed for a 88% gain

PFE May17 26 calls closed for a 66% win

OP MENTORING: SPY Mar22/19 510 put calendars and 520 calls for 6.4% gain

OPTION SHOPPER: ERX Mar28 65 calls closed for a 90% gain

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

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About the Author

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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