We’re Slowly Making Progress

BY MARK SEBASTIAN 

April 28, 2025

Hey Traders,

 

SPX closed over 5500 on Friday.

 

The index appears to be trying to make a run:

I think we might have clear sailing up to the 50 DMA, which sits around 5635. That’s the next major level of resistance.

 

Now I know we are all used to V bottoms – fast down, fast up – but I don’t think that happens this time.

 

If you are looking for a new All Time High in the S&P 500, you might be waiting a few months; this rally is going to be a slog.

 

Yes, the major volatility even appears to be behind us … BUT that doesn’t mean we run right back to 6100.

 

It could be a while.

 

Continue to follow the bond market. The S&P 500 had a nice Friday. Why? Because bonds had a nice Friday:

TLT is sitting at the 21 … if it’s up on Monday, the market will be up on Monday as well.

 

If not … you know the drill.

 

Watch for an early IWM bull call buy – it’s coming.

 

If you missed Licia and Hannah on Friday watch them here. Licia is doing a mini-master class on Pitchforks … you don’t want to miss it.

 

Let’s Recap Friday’s Trade

 

I know it’s been slow … and we are lacking winners. That changes this week.

 

…Today’s Outlook

 

I like the market higher despite things being down a bit Sunday night. I am going to put out a trade in the first hour … be ready.

 

Call Ted if you aren’t currently a member – 888 872 3301.

Your Only Option,

 

Mark Sebastian

 

Mark Sebastian

Founder & CEO, Option Pit

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Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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