BY MARK SEBASTIAN
April 1, 2025
Hey Traders,
What caused the rip? Was it just dip buyers … or was it something else??
Why did we rally on Monday after gapping lower? It’s a combination of two things:
1. The bond market.
Look at the pop in TLT on Monday – .massive move higher off the lows.
When bonds started rallying it started to lift the stock market. Then number 2 clicked:
2. Traders are more afraid of upside than downside….
No one wants to miss the chance to get in … so at the first hint of a turnaround, the algos turn on.
We will be in this mess until tomorrow at least, maybe Friday after non-farm payrolls.
This is going to be the best time to enter income trades. You start jumping in Thursday and Friday – you will most likely be extremely happy. Join Hans here.
Let’s Recap Yesterday’s Trade
We are long a bear XSP spread that expires on April 2nd. It was up big Monday morning and could have been a close. I think we will get another look at closing today.
But no new trade Monday … let’s wipe the slate clean and have a great April 1st.
…Today’s Outlook
I think we could see a repeat of Monday. OR we could see a repeat in reverse of Monday’s action – open higher and then tank. My guess is regardless we close the day lower and potentially with the VIX breaking 25.
Call Ted if you aren’t currently a member – 888 872 3301.
Your Only Option,
Mark Sebastian
Mark Sebastian
Founder & CEO, Option Pit
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