0DTE Daily: Market’s So Confusing

BY MARK SEBASTIAN 

March 10, 2025

Hey Traders,

 

Friday was confusing.

 

We opened down big and fully recovered closing the day up 31 points.

The S&P 500 bounced off the 200 DMA for the second day in a row.

 

VIX came off – seems like a logical place to start to slow down the market’s speed.

 

But we shall see today … futures are down overnight.

 

VIX futures are still flashing a major warning though:

When we are in this formation … anything can happen.

 

Let’s Recap Friday’s Trade

 

The market looked like it was primed to take off.

 

Down 50 to unchanged on the day: that’s a recipe for a market to rip higher.

That didn’t happen … instead of sat and spun…

 

…Today’s Outlook

 

Overnight the market is down. Right now, about .7% – nothing big.

 

But this is make or break. If we don’t bounce over the 200 DMA early in the day, I think it’s going to be a long day for stock market bulls.

Levels I am watching: 5800 is big for the S&P 500 then the 150 at 5828.

 

On the downside, a clean break of 5700 would be problematic for the market.

 

Call Ted if you aren’t currently a member – 888 872 3301.

 

Your Only Option,

 

Mark Sebastian

 

Mark Sebastian

Founder & CEO, Option Pit

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Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

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Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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