BY ANDREW GIOVINAZZI
March 18, 2024
Yo Pit Crazies,
Pick up Licia Leslie’s candlestick class and learn how to read charts.
Maybe I can get better at reading charts since I am horrible at it. You see, I bought some calendars in the SPDR S&P 500 Trust (Ticker: SPY) on Thursday for next week in my OPMentoring class. I figured that SPY would not do very much so the front end of the calendar would go out worthless, leaving me with a cheap put.
I hedged the calendars with some SPY calls. Those got smoked on Friday.
10 day SPY chart with 1 day candles
The problem is the SPY went right to the put strike on the open. I was right but way too early.
Now what am I going to do?
Put Calendars do not perform well too close to the money
If SPY does not move around, they do fine. The problem is that if it does move the put calendar does not gain enough value to make it worth it. I thought stocks would be quiet into the FOMC and they actually sold off.
My mistake was not placing my put calendars farther out of the money. If I place them at the end of the straddle value, they have more delta and will perform better. As much as I wanted the cheap put, the reality is the market is moving intraday and I need the room.
I did close most of the calendars for a .05 gain Friday and leaving a couple on for next week. It is possible SPY bounces a bit so the put calendars will pay and my plan will come together. I will replace it with a put vertical spread to manage if necessary.
It is better that I stick to my rule of placing the calendars at the edge of the straddle value, that way if things move, they will pay. This is my 4th calendar in a row that is pinned to the put strike too fast. The market for stocks is moving sneaky fast and I am just going with puts and put spreads here in the short term.
To Your Trading Success,
-AG
Andrew Giovinazzi
30-Year Trading Pro
See what's hot at option pit
CAPITOL GAINS: SMR Aug16 7 call closed for a 150% gain
DELTA STRIKE: VLY Mar15 8 puts closed for a 88% gain
PFE May17 26 calls closed for a 66% win
OP MENTORING: SPY Mar22/19 510 put calendars and 520 calls for 6.4% gain
OPTION SHOPPER: ERX Mar28 65 calls closed for a 90% gain