Market getting busy around 5000 and going nowhere

BY ANDREW GIOVINAZZI

February 9, 2024

Yo Pit Crazies,

 

Check out our Summer Event in Chicago.  Live trading, floor tours and all day option immersion.  Oh and food and Mark buys us steak.  And Portillos!  All with a simple goal, pay for the trip with the option trades we make during the week.

 

The only way the broader market, S&P 500 Index (Ticker: SPX) that is, would pay is with positive theta trades over the last two days.  I am working on a small win in OP Mentoring that could be a big win if we pin 5000.  And we just might do that.

There are reasons I think we are stuck:

 

DJT case before the Supreme Court

CPI number on Tuesday

Lowest Sigma IVs in 2024

5 day chart for SPX with 1 day candles

You think the Trump case at SCOTUS does not affect the market?

 

You will change your mind when you see this.

 

Volatility prices all known events

I am surprised the volatility traders are ignoring the CPI number.  I will be adding long gamma trades on Monday.  The inflation sensitive numbers have moved SPX 100 points or more in a 2 day span for the last year.  Traders are sitting on a benign reading of the CPI.  It very well could be but that would take the gloves off the market on the upside.  2 week lows are two week lows in volatility.

20 Day Sigmas pushing to recent lows

This week is likely quiet, next week not so much.

 

OP Mentoring should be set up for it.

To Your Trading Success,

 

-AG

Andrew Giovinazzi

30-Year Trading Pro

pit profits

See what's hot at option pit

CAPITOL GAINS: SMR Aug16 7 call closed for a 150% gain

DELTA STRIKE: VLY Mar15 8 puts closed for a 88% gain

PFE May17 26 calls closed for a 66% win

OP MENTORING: SPY Mar22/19 510 put calendars and 520 calls for 6.4% gain

OPTION SHOPPER: ERX Mar28 65 calls closed for a 90% gain

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

Share This Article

About the Author

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

Popular Posts

Categories

Stay Updated

Subscribe to our newsletter for daily trading insights

Upcoming Events

FOMC Meeting

2:00 PM EST

Earnings Season Begins

Pre-market

Options Expiration

Market Close

NFP Report

8:30 AM EST