Our Battle Plan for the U.S. Downgrade

BY MARK SEBASTIAN 

August 2, 2023

 

Hey Trader,

 

It’s Mark Sebastian, back again.

 

Hopefully, you were able to pop into the free session earlier today when Andrew, Licia, and Griff got together to share their takes and their strategies for turning the U.S. Credit Downgrade into a trading opportunity. 

 

(We will send that link out to you as soon as our team has it ready — in case you couldn’t see it.)

 

I have been busy taking care of family things so I wasn’t able to make it to the live show, but I did record a short video late last night — because I know how important this week will be for trading.

In this clip, I shared my plan for the rest of the week, some expectations I had about trading today, and how I plan to take advantage of the trading opportunity this historic switch will provide:

I walked through:

 

  • My prediction of selling today (which turned out to be accurate),
  • The precedent of the last U.S. Downgrade in 2011,
  • Where I think we will see buying and selling this week,
  • And how I plan to trade this week…

 

I will likely trade a strangle tomorrow or Thursday with members and I will watch the VIX curve for any shifts. If the curve moves into backwardation, that will be a big sign that I may want to find some longer-dated plays in VIX. 

 

I’ll be back again tomorrow for a follow-up.

 

Your only option,

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Founder & CEO, Option Pit

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Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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