Long Way to Nowhere

The Option Pit VIX Traffic Light Is Yellow: Volatility is likely to move wildly.

 

The S&P 500 dropped a “whopping” 1.14 points on Tuesday.

 

That’s what average investors saw.

 

But the S&P 500 had a huge range on Tuesday … it moved over 90 points from high to low, whipsawing everyone it could.

 

The VIX, meanwhile, went from down big … to down a little, to down big again, closing the day at 18.91. That’s off the lows, but still down 1.43 points.

 

It was a rough day for volatility. VVIX dropped 4.75 points to 89.20.

 

But underneath all of this something is looming…

 

There were traders saying VIX is dead, that it’s no longer relevant.

 

That is clearly not the case …

 

Volume in VIX options has exploded:

 

 

I could lay out the stats, but I think the visual does all the talking.

 

VIX options volume is going through the roof. Why?

 

The answer is simple:  ATR

 

 

While traders have been fading volatility, Average True Range has stayed above 60. This means the index is moving.

 

There is money to be made trading volatility.

 

SO what do you do? With the action yesterday, I think we run to 4200 before we turn around.

 

I would buy calls in both SPX and VIX as a pair.  Or simply buy a VIX strangle.

 

Questions? Leave them in the comments below!

 

Your Only Option,

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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