Which Way Will VIX Head Next?

The Option Pit VIX Traffic Light Is Yellow: Volatility Will Move Wildly.


Hey Traders,


Well, it happened …


The Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers were released … and markets did not like what they saw.


As I write this, the S&P 500 (Ticker: SPX) is down more than 2.5% … 


And the VIX is up more than 2.5 points, teasing a break of the 29-handle.


Meanwhile, the Option Pit VIX Traffic Light has turned yellow.


Which way will we go next?


Right now, I think we are much more likely to see the Option Pit VIX Traffic Light go green than go red again.


Yes, I believe that the worse-than-expected CPI numbers mean we are likely to see vol jump higher …


But how high?


I think we definitely could hit the 30-handle.


Remember how the VIX of VIX, VVIX, has been hitting new multi-year lows for quite a few days in a row?


Well, no more.


VVIX is back above 100 …



And the VIX futures curve has really tightened up, and is looking rather flat.



I think markets will continue to react.


And the VIX will head to 30.


There are trading opportunities out there … but this is a prime example of why it can (literally) pay to hedge your bets …

Your Only Option,

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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