The Option Pit VIX Traffic Light Is Yellow: Volatility Will Move Wildly.
Hey Traders,
Well, it happened …
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers were released … and markets did not like what they saw.
As I write this, the S&P 500 (Ticker: SPX) is down more than 2.5% …
And the VIX is up more than 2.5 points, teasing a break of the 29-handle.
Meanwhile, the Option Pit VIX Traffic Light has turned yellow.
Which way will we go next?
Right now, I think we are much more likely to see the Option Pit VIX Traffic Light go green than go red again.
Yes, I believe that the worse-than-expected CPI numbers mean we are likely to see vol jump higher …
But how high?
I think we definitely could hit the 30-handle.
Remember how the VIX of VIX, VVIX, has been hitting new multi-year lows for quite a few days in a row?
Well, no more.
VVIX is back above 100 …
And the VIX futures curve has really tightened up, and is looking rather flat.
I think markets will continue to react.
And the VIX will head to 30.
There are trading opportunities out there … but this is a prime example of why it can (literally) pay to hedge your bets …
Your Only Option,