The Rule of 3

Yo Pit Crazies,


In Maine the old Mainers say “If you don’t like the weather wait until the afternoon and it will change for ye”.


That is what we have in the equity markets – and for that matter all financial and commodity markets.


If it ticks, it’s a crazy volatile mess.


It is time for the Rule of Three to help you through this maelstrom.


Old Floor Guys Thought 3 Days Was A Trend


I don’t know where this rule originated, but it was there long before I started trading.


It goes like this:


It aint a trend until three days in one direction. If it fails, look for a reversal.


Right now we are on day two of a southern trip for the VIX. If it  keeps failing, I expect us to get back to the pre-nuclear power plant strike area.


Things are bad … but they have not gotten worse,



I expect 30 VIX to be a good inflection point and my Volatility Trading Club today trade will reflect that.


And for more fireworks, check out the live session tonight at 8 p.m. It’s a mess out there and we’ll trade it.


THE LESSON: The three-day day rule is a great momentum indicator and a good spot to place a back spread trade.


The Rundown


Capitol Gains w/ Frank Gregory

Frank and I closed the Guggenheim Solar Trust ETF (Ticker: TAN) strangle for a 19% gain, and we are riding the Clean Energy Inc (Ticker: CLNE) Jan. 2023 calls with it as a one-two EV punch. CLNE calls are marking up 25% right now.


Option Shopper

Licia went shopping for Verizon Inc (Ticker: VZ) puts.


Power Income Trader

We’re going live at 8 p.m. TONIGHT. (And our geopolitical trading expert Frank Gregory will be there, too.)


Trading Legion

I closed all of my Apple Inc (Ticker: AAPL) put flies and now own the upside calls for a nice credit. I would not surprise me if AAPL was up another $5 on good news out of Ukraine.


Pro Trading Room:
The Pro Room is Option Pit’s live access to Mark and myself during trading hours. Our Pro students post trade ideas with Mark and me during the entire trading session. 


The Pro Room was watching the rip today with Jason winning using a Bumble Inc. (Ticker: BMBL) tell from the Big Money Show.

Big Money Flow:

The BMF system works well in up or down markets.


Mark and I jumped into some Macy’s Inc (Ticker: M) calls Tuesday that are marking up 10%.

 

>> Go with the Flow yourself when you click here. <<

 

Volatility Edge & Volatility Trading Club:

 

The Option Pit VIX Light Is Green, as the market for VIX futures is in full backwardation. SPX is still going up and down with around 2%+ moves per day.

 

To Your Trading Success,

 

AG


Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

Share This Article

About the Author

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

Popular Posts

Categories

Stay Updated

Subscribe to our newsletter for daily trading insights

Upcoming Events

FOMC Meeting

2:00 PM EST

Earnings Season Begins

Pre-market

Options Expiration

Market Close

NFP Report

8:30 AM EST