A New Sector Running the Market

BY MARK SEBASTIAN 

June 30, 2025

Hey Traders,

 

Last week, I warned you all that oil was due for a fall as soon as there is peace … and boy did it!

Oil fell about 15%. XLE did do better, only falling 4% but it trailed oil.

 

Here is the good news: for now, you can ignore energy again, at least until something heats up in the Middle East again.

 

So what’s leading the market?

 

SMH: the semi’s.

That being said … this is looking a little toppy.

 

AMD and NVDA have had such a crazy run over the last few days. I think they are primed for at least a little pull back.

The reversal on Thursday and then the price action on Friday make me think AMD might be due for a sell off.

 

WIth some of the mega stocks probably running out of steam I really think there is an opportunity for the Dow Jones and the Russell 2000 to out perform.

 

IWM is already breaking out and so is DIA. I expect this week to be a strong week for both.

 

Reviewing Friday’s Trade

 

I closed most of TNA up 100%.

 

…Today’s Outlook

 

It’s going to be an inside day – be on the lookout today.

 

Call Ted if you aren’t currently a member – 888 872 3301.

Your Only Option,

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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