NSC

Each week, I’ll give an overview of a stock and Licia Leslie will follow that up with a chart analysis the next day. Bill Griffo will chime in with macro analysis and Andrew Giovinazzi will then finish out the week with a volatility breakdown.


Have a stock YOU want us to review? Email my team here. – Mark


Hey Traders,


We are delving into the maelstrom of Norfolk Southern Corp (Ticker: NSC) to see if anything has come from all of the bad press and the Department of Transportation coming down on the railroad.


I have to say looking at the combo of volatility and price action, there is a story here.



Let’s go see what it is.


Railroaded 

I think the big story here is the lack of realized volatility into the slide down.


It was almost as if the long slow slide was a foregone conclusion. Just steady selling into bad news.


Normally when companies run afoul of the government, the stocks just don’t do much because they’re like a hot potato no one wants to hold.NSC is in that area.  


What there is not is the higher vol spike that often accompanies such terrible news.


I think if anything I would go with put calendars into this low vol as the poor news and sentiment will keep the stock weak, but clearly not dropping off a cliff.


I’d use  the fact that the stock dropped with a lower realized vol as an indication the accident was tragic but not a company-killer.

Short-term with put calendars for the weakness now, but a longer-term call when NSC pays the bills and gets back to moving freight around. – AG

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

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About the Author

Andrew Giovinazzi

Andrew Giovinazzi

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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