Think Twice Before Chasing These

Hey Traders,

We got a little bump in volatility to start the holiday-shortened week …

But after a midday peak, we started to see the VIX drop off again.

Now, with markets lower on the day, this might be when some traders are looking at volatility as an alternative place to put their money.

But, just like I’ve told you before, there’s a few volatility tickers that I would NOT advise you to go long in right now (or almost ever): iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (Ticker: VXX) and ProShares Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETF (Ticker: UVXY).

I know some of you are going to see UVXY and VXX’s jump over the last two days and want to argue with me.

Chart courtesy StockCharts

And hey — it’s your money. If you want to try to get lucky with day-trading or swing-trading a volatility ETF, be my guest.

But it is the inherent nature of VXX and UVXY to lose money.

And before you even think about touching one of these tickers, you really should read this article.

I wrote this a few weeks ago, but it’s as relevant now as it ever was. And it really sheds light on why I almost never go long in these — especially UVXY.

Above you can see the 21-day hourly chart for UVXY. Sure, the last two days saw a little bit of a jump …

But look at UVXY’s one-year chart (adjusted to account for the 10-to-1 split in May) and tell me again how you think that long position is going to go …

Chart courtesy StockCharts

Like I said, it’s your choice.

But you really should read this first.

Your Only Option,

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian is a former member of both the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), where he spent years mastering the art of options trading in the most competitive environment imaginable. As Chief Investment Officer at the hedge fund Karman Line Capital, Mark manages sophisticated options strategies for institutional clients. He is the author of two highly regarded books on options trading: ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ and ‘Trading Options for Edge.’ Mark is a frequent guest on major financial networks including CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg, and First Business News, where he provides expert commentary on market volatility and options strategies.

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About the Author

Mark Sebastian

Mark Sebastian

Former CBOE floor trader and CIO at Karman Line Capital. Author of ‘The Option Traders Hedge Fund’ with over 30 years of options trading experience.

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