Yo Pit Crazies,
Yesterday I told you about three stocks where I caught institutional accumulation before the prices moved.
Today I want to show you the other side.
My system doesn't just find stocks to buy.
It also tells you when institutional money is absent, defensive, or quietly walking away.
That signal is just as valuable.
Let me show you some examples.
When Options Get Expensive on a Falling Stock
In December 2025, I was watching MicroStrategy (MSTR), the company that holds over 700,000 Bitcoin on borrowed money.
The system wasn't showing institutional accumulation in calls. It was showing the opposite: option prices rising on a stock that was falling.
That's what happens when institutions buy protection, not the stock. They were hedging, not building. The positioning was defensive.
I called it a short in the Pit Report. MSTR is down 58 percent from where I flagged it.
When 65 Stocks Flash the Same Warning
In February, I ran a screen on stocks with LEAPS (long-dated options expiring one to two years out) trading within three percent of their 52-week low with no institutional buying behind them.
65 names came up. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) was on the list.
ABR was advertising a 16.3 percent dividend yield. When a stock yields 16 percent, the market is telling you it doesn't believe the dividend will last. The system agreed. No institutions were defending it.
I called it a short. ABR is down 11 percent since. I still think it goes below $7 before the dividend picture clears up.
When the Signal Is Flat
Not every signal is a sell. Sometimes it tells you to wait.
I pulled up Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) in December. The institutional positioning had not changed in six months. No new call buying. No unusual activity. Nothing.
The fundamental thesis for HPE is real. It is a hardware company trading at a fraction of the multiple software AI names carry, and the AI server buildout should eventually find it. But without the institutional signal, I don't buy. I wait.
HPE is up five percent since December. Fine, but not a breakout. When institutions finally show up, that's the trade.
The Proof Is in the Results
Following institutional interest would have caught ALL THREE of the best performing stocks of the last three years. Two of them, early.
In 2023, Carvana (CVNA) ran from $4.90 to $57, a 1,063 percent move. My system flagged it on June 12, 2023 at $18.57. That's a 207 percent gain from the signal.
In 2024, Palantir (PLTR) ran from $15.97 to $85, a 432 percent move. The system caught it early on July 11, 2023 at $16.35. That's a 420 percent gain.
In 2025, Robinhood (HOOD) ran from $38.22 to $153.41, a 301 percent move. The system flagged it early on October 1, 2024 when the stock was at $23.19. That's a 562 percent gain.
This method works on both sides of the trade. The buy signals and the absence of them.
Then tomorrow night, we're revealing something bigger: the 49 stocks nearly approved for long-term stocks and options. The first few could trigger as early as this Friday, March 20, and again on March 24. Plus our four-year results showing a 97 percent win rate using institutional interest as the buy trigger.
You don't want to miss tomorrow.
All right, everybody have a good day.
AG