Hello,

Trends come and go.

In fashion… ideas… and investments.

One of the biggest mistakes a typical “retail investor” can make is to buy right at the peak.

But, how do you know when a trend or hot streak is topping out?

Here’s one way: When you see headlines on random magazines highlighting a major trend or investment, it’s best to avoid it.

Going opposite of the herd has worked for a long time, too.

The saying “buy when there’s blood on the streets,” was uttered back in the 18th century.

Most professional traders keep that idea in mind. Especially Andrew Giovinazzi.

The stock he hates this week is one that he wants to like, but can’t help but bet against. And he’s so fond of the one he loves (in an unloved sector), that he’s putting it into his own portfolio.

Enjoy.

The hardest thing about finding stocks to not like is… to not like them. When everyone is making millions overnight, it’s easy to feel like you’re missing out. 

But then things crash. And those who were making all that money now have nothing.

This is just what happened to crypto and crypto stocks.

And Bloom Energy (BE) is one of the victims. 

This stock mooned to the 30s under Biden’s Green New Deal hopes, crashed to earth and resurrected now under the hopes for alternative energy. BE got some recent government nods and went skyward. Now it is coming back to earth as it will take awhile to realize the revenue. It is not that the prospects are not bright, it is that the revenues need to catch up with the value at some point.

The Option Fingerprint for BE is big and large institutions are in. Much of that helped lead to the furious rally in 2025.

For now, as the stock crumbles, option pricing is jumping higher indicating the big moves are not over. It is not uncommon for a high flier to lose half its market value before recovering.

It would not surprise me to see the $70s.

The Most Unloved Sector on the Planet

Oil and gas is a streaky business not unlike how semiconductors used to be until the AI Supercycle took over all chip production. This administration is more favorable to domestic production so oil and gas should do better. 

All of those factors went into Apache Corp (APA) as a Flash 5 pick. 

It did not stop the stock from going to $22 

Note the pick up in Option Fingerprints in just 6 weeks. Oil and Gas is a cyclical industry and the jump in Fingerprint can easily land APA on my list again for Flash 7 since domestic oil and gas production is a White House priority.

I am very long this stock currently. APA trades at a 4x earnings multiple and a 4% dividend yield. It should keep climbing into next year.

It’s a good feeling to be in love with the stocks you invest in. But the point to investing is to make money, not fall in love.

As you see today, Andrew doesn’t let what the majority of investors think sway his decisions.

You become a better investor when you do the same.

So what do you think…

Will Mark pick Andrew’s picks on Monday’s Ticker Highlight show? 

You saw Licia’s pick yesterday. Tomorrow you’ll see what Hans has up his sleeve.

And Sunday, Mark will tell you his choice.

The big decision happens on Monday at 10:00 a.m. 

Click here to get a reminder Monday morning with the State of the Market Newsletter.

Take care,

Charles Delvalle