$VVIX moves to a 6 month high

$VVIX moves to a 6 month high $VVIX is moving to 6 month highs and could move to 12 month highs.  In order for it to do that we would need Volpocalypse 2 to unfold before our very eyes.  With XIV and SVXY not running for the exits anymore this 1 week doubling of $VIX…

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$VXX will go down, it is only a matter of when

$VXX will go down, it is only a matter of when   $VXX will go down, it is only a matter of when.  That was a response to a Tweet on last night’s blog and I agree with it.  I don’t know how useful that is for generating trade ideas but history says it is…

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How to tell where the $VXX will go?

How to tell where the $VXX will go?   $VXX is going to move somewhere.  That is for sure.  Just last week around this time the ETN was hovering about $26 and going nowhere fast.  The VIX October future premium was huge, the highest if not the highest level in 2018 for this close in…

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Will $GE cut their dividend again?

Will GE cut their dividend? There is speculation that $GE will cut their dividend again in the near future.  After a terrific fall from grace, $GE is languishing around $11.70 with no real turn around in sight.  I have to admit writing 12.5 and 13 puts has not been a winner lately even owning back…

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$EWZ might be near the bottom

Are the Emerging Market’s names like $EWZ ready to revive? $EWZ had a roller coaster in 2018 as corruption, oil prices and general political discontent weighed heavily on the Brazilian ETF.  $PBR plays a big role in that as an example of how not to run an oil company for the common good but for…

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Realized volatility and the Financial Crisis

The Financial Crisis is over so says the realized volatility The Financial Crisis was very volatile and looms large in our memory.  The last President inherited the problem and latest President wants to avoid the next one.  I think as a leader I would rather have something  at the bottom of the cycle to start…

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The $SKEW tops 150 are you worried?

The $SKEW tops 150 are you worried? A higher $SKEW number for the Cboe $SKEW index is usually associated with a level of worry among market players.  The larger $SKEW gets the more people want to pay for puts.  If one digs into how the $SKEW is made up there is a bit more to…

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The $VIX went mini-backward today

The $VIX went mini-backward today   $VIX cash is just flat to the VIX Sep19 with just a couple of days to go.  That in itself is not crazy.  There is not doubt that the 1 – 2 punch of $AMZN getting clobbered and the latest super-secret level of tariffs helped push $VIX up from…

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TradeHawk and Option Pit Webinar TODAY!

The Trader’s Round Table Webinar! Thursday, September 13, 2018 1:30 pm Central Time Sign up here Mark Sebastian of Option Pit and Lex will discuss Trade ideas: when to buy versus when to sell. Spots are limited so sign up today. To Unsubscribe from future emails click here and send “unsubscribe” to us.

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$SPX and the Volatility Risk Premium

$SPX and the Volatility Risk Premium   $SPX and the Volatility Risk Premium is darn high.  I don’t know what percentile the current level of IV is in but it is very expensive relative to how the $SPX is moving.  I don’t know why that is.  At first blush I think for the foreseeable future…

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